Asian World Cup Qualifying Final Round- Match Day 3 Round Up
So, a pretty disappointing day which promised to clear things up a bit in the groups, but served only to frustrate and disappoint. With that out of the way, we will take each group individually and look at how things stand.
South Korea expectedly top this group with 6 points from 2 games, then come Iran and Qatar both on 4 points followed by Uzbekistan and Lebanon each with a solitary point.
The main talking points of this group involve the three teams forming the middle of this group as it stands, namely Iran, Qatar & Uzbekistan. Iran & Uzbekistan both looked very strong in the previous round, however they have both failed to carry their previous round form into the crunch round and their results have been sub par. Iran managed to secure a fortunate win away in Tashkent, and then drew at home to Qatar, very unconvincing from Team Melli but it is still very early on in this campaign and longevity is the key.
As for Uzbekistan, I fear that they are having another nightmare final round, and by firing Abramov after their initial loss to Iran, they have not done themselves any favours. An away draw to Lebanon is worrying, and if the White Wolves hope to make their World Cup debut in Brazil they will have to break this psychological barrier and play as we have seen them play in the previous round and against Iran in Tashkent. Kasimov has his hands full but will have plenty of time to reflect and make his choices. Qatar meanwhile have every chance of causing an upset and securing second spot or even the play off place. Their loss at home to Korea is not hugely unexpected and the real deciding games will come against Iran and Uzbekistan. Korea should comfortably top this group if they continue their clinical and professional performances, while Lebanon look likely to languish in the final position.
At present this group is a case of Japan…then the rest. The Samurai Blue top the group comfortably with 7 points from three games including an away draw to Australia, their toughest fixture of the whole qualifying campaign. So we can safely assume (barring some minor miracle/crumble) that they will be partying in Brazil.
The rest have really disappointed so far in these qualifiers. Out of all the games played so far without Japan being one of the sides taking part, each and every one has ended in a draw, and a generally drab one at that. The stat tells the tale well enough, and there hasn’t been much to separate the sides. Australia will still be favourites to claim the second spot, mainly due to their ability to grind out results when necessary and their fearsome home record, and with the return of Cahill to the squad they have received a timely boost. Iraq have been toothless; while they have bested both Oman & Jordan on the field, they haven’t made it count and instead have drawn two games in a very meek manner, disappointing results considering how ruthless they were in the previous round. Zico seems very apprehensive and more keen to stop the other teams from scoring rather than have his own players find the back of the net, Iraq have started with just one striker in both their games, Mahmoud has cut a lone figure, the manager seemingly content to only make changes in the last few minutes bringing on both Karim and Alaa who have livened up the attack each time they have had a run around. They will only have themselves to blame if they do not at least finish 3rd in this group.
Jordan, meanwhile, have shown why they would not be a good representative for Asia at 2014, by falling well foul of a rampant Japan, their only hope will be in their derby games against Iraq & oman where form and quality will mean nothing. Oman used home advantage well against Australia to bounce back from a loss in Japan, but again have looked very average and not deserving of a spot on the world stage.
Detailed statistical analysis of AUS v JPN here: http://au.fourfourtwo.com/forums/default.aspx?g=posts&t=72811
So much for the people who said put the family fortune on JPN
Thanks for the link Alberto, I only managed to catch extended highlights and I noted that Australia threatened more although the game was no footballing spectacle. I also noted the state of the pitch which was rather cut up, obviously this hampered Japan’s playing style, not to mention this game was played in Brisbane on home soil for the Socceroos.
I still maintain that Japan and Australia are the two best teams in Asia, but the difference in the two squads is marked, Japan have stars like Honda & Kagawa to mention only two, whilst Australia are a team generally ageing. Add to that the strength in depth that Japan show, and I can see them continuing to rack up the points especially against their Middle Eastern opposition. Australia’s dominant form at home will see them through in my eyes, most likely in second place as Japan have taken 7 points already and have played their toughest match of the round already. But I can envisage Australia toiling away from home to the teams in the Middle East.